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Definitive Analysis

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Tokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd. (064760.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$226,136.59 - $1,224,745.31$441,971.48
Multi-Stage$127,879.02 - $139,880.66$133,770.13
Blended Fair Value$287,870.80
Current Price$175,000.00
Upside64.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.92%42.40%1,210.161,714.391,442.111,109.31907.62907.62705.93504.23242.03121.02
YoY Growth---29.41%18.88%30.00%22.22%0.00%28.57%40.00%108.33%100.00%242.86%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.30%1.38%0.85%0.48%1.47%1.05%0.62%0.75%0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71,295.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,461.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,833.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,259.088,911.935,347.16
Cash Retained (M)54,833.6754,833.6754,833.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,259.08-8,911.93-5,347.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,574.5945,921.7449,486.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5811.5811.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,504.763,966.644,274.55
LTM Dividend per Share1,421.941,421.941,421.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,504.763,966.644,274.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,926.695,388.575,696.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$226,136.59$441,971.48$1,224,745.31
Upside / Downside29.22%152.56%599.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71,295.4275,929.6280,865.0586,121.2791,719.1697,680.90100,611.33
Payout Ratio23.09%36.47%49.85%63.24%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,461.7527,692.7440,314.2154,459.4770,273.2987,912.8193,065.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25,448.1525,689.3725,930.58
Year 2 PV (M)34,043.8634,692.3035,346.86
Year 3 PV (M)42,261.4443,474.6244,710.79
Year 4 PV (M)50,113.1252,040.3354,022.60
Year 5 PV (M)57,610.7660,393.3863,282.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,270,978.121,332,366.841,396,105.05
Equity Value (M)1,480,455.461,548,656.841,619,398.38
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5811.5811.58
Fair Value$127,879.02$133,770.13$139,880.66
Upside / Downside-26.93%-23.56%-20.07%

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