Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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LEENO Industrial Inc. (058470.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37,231.13 - $78,959.63$52,853.35
Multi-Stage$27,635.00 - $30,158.68$28,874.11
Blended Fair Value$40,863.73
Current Price$51,500.00
Upside-20.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.28%139.87%599.93599.93499.94299.96239.97219.45199.04179.13159.23139.37
YoY Growth--0.00%20.00%66.67%25.00%9.35%10.26%11.11%12.50%14.25%146,417.40%
Dividend Yield--1.59%1.12%1.74%0.81%0.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)150,668.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45,537.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)105,131.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30,133.7618,833.6011,300.16
Cash Retained (M)105,131.44105,131.44105,131.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-30,133.76-18,833.60-11,300.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)74,997.6886,297.8493,831.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.9175.9175.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share988.051,136.921,236.17
LTM Dividend per Share599.93599.93599.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share988.051,136.921,236.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,587.971,736.841,836.09
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37,231.13$52,853.35$78,959.63
Upside / Downside-27.71%2.63%53.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)150,668.80160,462.27170,892.32182,000.32193,830.34206,429.31212,622.19
Payout Ratio30.22%42.18%54.13%66.09%78.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45,537.3667,681.0492,511.00120,282.91151,274.30185,786.38196,675.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)60,950.6261,528.3562,106.08
Year 2 PV (M)75,026.6676,455.7177,898.24
Year 3 PV (M)87,849.0990,370.9292,940.56
Year 4 PV (M)99,496.92103,323.29107,258.98
Year 5 PV (M)110,044.79115,359.99120,878.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,664,266.491,744,651.181,828,112.39
Equity Value (M)2,097,634.582,191,689.452,289,194.87
Shares Outstanding (M)75.9175.9175.91
Fair Value$27,635.00$28,874.11$30,158.68
Upside / Downside-46.34%-43.93%-41.44%

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