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Definitive Analysis

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Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. (055550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$391,399.86 - $1,951,342.67$819,570.57
Multi-Stage$240,634.29 - $263,470.14$251,841.62
Blended Fair Value$535,706.10
Current Price$61,400.00
Upside772.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.81%12.23%2,568.442,962.123,123.262,470.361,963.801,683.931,448.671,432.171,356.241,107.04
YoY Growth---13.29%-5.16%26.43%25.79%16.62%16.24%1.15%5.60%22.51%36.61%
Dividend Yield--5.46%6.50%8.84%5.95%5.24%5.89%3.31%3.13%2.91%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,867,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,292,142.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,574,899.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)973,408.20608,380.13365,028.08
Cash Retained (M)3,574,899.003,574,899.003,574,899.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-973,408.20-608,380.13-365,028.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,601,490.802,966,518.883,209,870.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.35493.35493.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,273.086,012.976,506.24
LTM Dividend per Share2,619.102,619.102,619.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,273.086,012.976,506.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,892.188,632.089,125.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Fair Value$391,399.86$819,570.57$1,951,342.67
Upside / Downside537.46%1,234.81%3,078.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,867,041.005,155,117.495,460,245.005,783,432.796,125,749.816,488,328.326,682,978.17
Payout Ratio26.55%39.24%51.93%64.62%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,292,142.002,022,819.482,835,466.603,737,226.994,735,802.735,839,495.496,181,754.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Year 1 PV (M)1,872,033.311,889,875.981,907,718.64
Year 2 PV (M)2,428,496.202,475,009.632,521,964.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,962,230.273,047,740.683,134,881.07
Year 4 PV (M)3,473,916.603,608,264.103,746,471.16
Year 5 PV (M)3,964,218.264,156,772.144,356,736.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)104,016,755.24109,069,158.65114,316,010.37
Equity Value (M)118,717,649.88124,246,821.17129,983,782.24
Shares Outstanding (M)493.35493.35493.35
Fair Value$240,634.29$251,841.62$263,470.14
Upside / Downside291.91%310.17%329.10%

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