Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company, Inc. (052690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$446,774.19 - $526,683.47$493,436.68
Multi-Stage$300,635.33 - $330,854.29$315,454.04
Blended Fair Value$404,445.36
Current Price$83,800.00
Upside382.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.76%2.38%514.96282.98237.98281.98309.98139.99219.98109.99199.98574.95
YoY Growth--81.98%18.91%-15.60%-9.03%121.43%-36.36%100.00%-45.00%-65.22%41.30%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.43%0.32%0.34%1.38%0.93%0.91%0.35%0.72%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103,865.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,005.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,859.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20,773.0012,983.137,789.88
Cash Retained (M)65,859.5465,859.5465,859.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-20,773.00-12,983.13-7,789.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,086.5452,876.4158,069.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
LTM Dividend per Share998.92998.92998.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,183.962,388.712,525.20
WACC / Discount Rate0.05%0.05%0.05%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Fair Value$446,774.19$493,436.68$526,683.47
Upside / Downside433.14%488.83%528.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103,865.00107,277.36110,801.84114,442.10118,201.97122,085.36125,747.92
Payout Ratio36.59%47.27%57.95%68.64%79.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,005.4650,713.1964,214.9078,549.0493,755.72109,876.82116,316.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.05%0.05%0.05%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Year 1 PV (M)50,199.4950,690.2751,181.05
Year 2 PV (M)62,920.5564,156.8665,405.20
Year 3 PV (M)76,186.1378,442.5780,743.12
Year 4 PV (M)90,014.2493,586.3297,263.67
Year 5 PV (M)104,423.41109,628.71115,039.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,054,378.1811,605,417.2912,178,215.12
Equity Value (M)11,438,122.0112,001,922.0212,587,847.72
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
Fair Value$300,635.33$315,454.04$330,854.29
Upside / Downside258.75%276.44%294.81%

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