Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd. (051600.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50,054.47 - $101,989.04$70,042.41
Multi-Stage$75,971.31 - $83,260.88$79,547.32
Blended Fair Value$74,794.87
Current Price$60,100.00
Upside24.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.81%3.57%2,158.001,305.001,199.001,146.001,920.001,790.001,470.00680.001,690.001,670.00
YoY Growth--65.36%8.84%4.62%-40.31%7.26%21.77%116.18%-59.76%1.20%9.87%
Dividend Yield--5.16%3.60%3.17%2.74%6.10%6.16%4.21%1.49%2.71%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)131,439.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)111,105.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,334.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26,287.8416,429.909,857.94
Cash Retained (M)20,334.2120,334.2120,334.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-26,287.84-16,429.90-9,857.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,953.633,904.3110,476.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.0045.0045.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-132.3086.76232.81
LTM Dividend per Share2,469.002,469.002,469.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-132.3086.76232.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,336.702,555.762,701.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Fair Value$50,054.47$70,042.41$101,989.04
Upside / Downside-16.71%16.54%69.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)131,439.21134,953.01138,560.75142,264.94146,068.15149,973.03154,472.22
Payout Ratio84.53%85.62%86.72%87.81%88.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)111,105.00115,551.70120,156.76124,925.44129,863.22134,975.73142,886.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Year 1 PV (M)107,523.53108,581.07109,638.61
Year 2 PV (M)104,040.51106,097.14108,173.90
Year 3 PV (M)100,654.30103,653.54106,711.77
Year 4 PV (M)97,363.18101,250.50105,253.07
Year 5 PV (M)94,165.4198,888.19103,798.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,914,961.823,061,158.873,213,163.85
Equity Value (M)3,418,708.753,579,629.303,746,739.78
Shares Outstanding (M)45.0045.0045.00
Fair Value$75,971.31$79,547.32$83,260.88
Upside / Downside26.41%32.36%38.54%

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