Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Korea Environment Technology Co., Ltd. (029960.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,601.11 - $20,004.04$13,544.42
Multi-Stage$13,453.21 - $14,730.05$14,079.67
Blended Fair Value$13,812.04
Current Price$8,880.00
Upside55.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.06%34.60%498.49498.49306.89521.72552.41408.5825.5425.8525.5425.54
YoY Growth--0.00%62.43%-41.18%-5.56%35.20%1,500.00%-1.20%1.21%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.61%7.29%4.33%6.30%6.17%0.00%0.35%0.48%0.78%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,362.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24,260.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,102.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,272.553,295.341,977.21
Cash Retained (M)2,102.392,102.392,102.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,272.55-3,295.34-1,977.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3,170.16-1,192.95125.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.6748.6748.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-65.14-24.512.57
LTM Dividend per Share498.49498.49498.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share-65.14-24.512.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend433.35473.98501.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Fair Value$9,601.11$13,544.42$20,004.04
Upside / Downside8.12%52.53%125.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,362.7527,168.9727,999.8428,856.1329,738.6030,648.0531,567.49
Payout Ratio92.03%91.62%91.22%90.81%90.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24,260.3624,892.2425,540.0826,204.2626,885.1927,583.2529,199.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Year 1 PV (M)23,110.4823,336.9223,563.37
Year 2 PV (M)22,014.6722,448.1922,885.95
Year 3 PV (M)20,970.4021,592.8822,227.57
Year 4 PV (M)19,975.2720,769.7521,587.70
Year 5 PV (M)19,026.9819,977.5920,965.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)549,637.01577,097.53605,644.82
Equity Value (M)654,734.80685,222.87716,875.22
Shares Outstanding (M)48.6748.6748.67
Fair Value$13,453.21$14,079.67$14,730.05
Upside / Downside51.50%58.55%65.88%

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