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Definitive Analysis

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SK Gas Co., Ltd. (018670.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,890,371.13 - $6,555,281.36$6,143,258.65
Multi-Stage$968,464.39 - $1,060,529.44$1,013,649.17
Blended Fair Value$3,578,453.91
Current Price$231,500.00
Upside1,445.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.26%17.61%7,957.487,460.146,067.583,978.742,941.282,913.052,500.362,932.202,215.772,117.66
YoY Growth--6.67%22.95%52.50%35.27%0.97%16.51%-14.73%32.33%4.63%34.70%
Dividend Yield--3.22%4.85%5.11%3.46%2.76%4.63%2.79%3.12%1.89%2.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297,414.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)71,920.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)225,494.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59,482.9037,176.8122,306.09
Cash Retained (M)225,494.11225,494.11225,494.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-59,482.90-37,176.81-22,306.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)166,011.21188,317.30203,188.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.029.029.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share18,398.6720,870.8122,518.90
LTM Dividend per Share7,970.787,970.787,970.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share18,398.6720,870.8122,518.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend26,369.4528,841.5930,489.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,890,371.13$6,143,258.65$6,555,281.36
Upside / Downside1,148.54%2,553.68%2,731.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297,414.48316,746.42337,334.93359,261.70382,613.71407,483.61419,708.11
Payout Ratio24.18%37.35%50.51%63.67%76.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)71,920.37118,290.51170,384.90228,751.79293,986.50366,735.25388,230.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)110,066.74111,110.02112,153.31
Year 2 PV (M)147,517.49150,327.28153,163.58
Year 3 PV (M)184,282.08189,572.15194,962.51
Year 4 PV (M)220,369.85228,844.66237,561.58
Year 5 PV (M)255,790.05268,144.80280,972.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,820,427.948,198,157.548,590,343.73
Equity Value (M)8,738,454.159,146,156.469,569,157.12
Shares Outstanding (M)9.029.029.02
Fair Value$968,464.39$1,013,649.17$1,060,529.44
Upside / Downside318.34%337.86%358.11%

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