Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sung Kwang Bend Co.,Ltd. (014620.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,693.30 - $15,933.73$13,187.56
Multi-Stage$13,871.03 - $15,209.19$14,527.44
Blended Fair Value$13,857.50
Current Price$32,800.00
Upside-57.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.11%-0.24%157.75105.17105.17105.17105.1785.22105.17157.75157.75158.89
YoY Growth--50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23.41%-18.97%-33.33%0.00%-0.71%-1.64%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.94%0.85%1.20%1.28%1.67%0.95%1.37%1.50%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,908.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,311.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,596.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,781.604,238.502,543.10
Cash Retained (M)28,596.5528,596.5528,596.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,781.60-4,238.50-2,543.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,814.9424,358.0426,053.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.5626.5626.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share821.45917.22981.06
LTM Dividend per Share200.01200.01200.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share821.45917.22981.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,021.461,117.221,181.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Fair Value$10,693.30$13,187.56$15,933.73
Upside / Downside-67.40%-59.79%-51.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,908.0234,377.8634,854.2135,337.1635,826.8136,323.2337,412.93
Payout Ratio15.66%30.53%45.40%60.27%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,311.4710,496.0715,823.3321,296.2026,917.7132,690.9134,606.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate0.39%1.39%2.39%
Year 1 PV (M)9,449.939,544.079,638.20
Year 2 PV (M)12,826.3113,083.1213,342.48
Year 3 PV (M)15,542.0416,011.1516,489.61
Year 4 PV (M)17,686.6618,402.0119,138.84
Year 5 PV (M)19,339.1120,321.7421,343.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)293,521.86308,435.76323,949.82
Equity Value (M)368,365.90385,797.84403,902.85
Shares Outstanding (M)26.5626.5626.56
Fair Value$13,871.03$14,527.44$15,209.19
Upside / Downside-57.71%-55.71%-53.63%

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