Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (009290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,177.37 - $97,624.12$38,639.05
Multi-Stage$29,506.71 - $32,436.10$30,943.45
Blended Fair Value$34,791.25
Current Price$5,830.00
Upside496.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.51%3.37%101.44103.98103.98103.9880.1481.3682.1682.1782.1781.35
YoY Growth---2.43%0.00%0.00%29.74%-1.49%-0.98%-0.01%0.00%1.01%11.75%
Dividend Yield--1.97%1.42%1.88%1.38%0.94%1.43%1.17%0.92%0.92%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,182.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,927.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,255.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,836.583,647.862,188.72
Cash Retained (M)25,255.0425,255.0425,255.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,836.58-3,647.86-2,188.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,418.4621,607.1823,066.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
LTM Dividend per Share99.4299.4299.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend590.92646.32683.25
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Fair Value$22,177.37$38,639.05$97,624.12
Upside / Downside280.40%562.76%1,574.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,182.9230,207.7831,268.6332,366.7433,503.4234,680.0135,720.41
Payout Ratio13.46%28.77%44.08%59.38%74.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,927.888,690.0613,781.8719,220.6025,024.3431,212.0133,041.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)8,177.348,257.118,336.88
Year 2 PV (M)12,203.5812,442.8312,684.40
Year 3 PV (M)16,015.3116,488.5916,971.09
Year 4 PV (M)19,620.9720,397.8621,197.58
Year 5 PV (M)23,028.6824,174.0325,364.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,086,712.781,140,761.281,196,939.21
Equity Value (M)1,165,758.671,222,521.691,281,493.68
Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
Fair Value$29,506.71$30,943.45$32,436.10
Upside / Downside406.12%430.76%456.37%

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