Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SIMPAC Inc. (009160.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,638.88 - $43,199.40$40,484.17
Multi-Stage$6,527.28 - $7,130.80$6,823.55
Blended Fair Value$23,653.86
Current Price$4,430.00
Upside433.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.30%9.68%100.50197.81206.6064.0167.3967.4636.7348.9459.9639.90
YoY Growth---49.19%-4.26%222.77%-5.02%-0.11%83.69%-24.96%-18.38%50.29%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.69%4.41%4.14%0.78%2.08%3.08%1.45%1.10%1.20%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,766.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,879.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)886.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,353.281,470.80882.48
Cash Retained (M)886.61886.61886.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,353.28-1,470.80-882.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1,466.67-584.194.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.1754.1754.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share-27.08-10.780.08
LTM Dividend per Share200.85200.85200.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share-27.08-10.780.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend173.78190.07200.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17,638.88$40,484.17$43,199.40
Upside / Downside298.17%813.86%875.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,766.4212,531.2413,345.7714,213.2415,137.1016,121.0216,604.65
Payout Ratio92.46%91.97%91.48%90.99%90.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,879.8111,525.2212,208.5712,932.0613,698.0214,508.9115,359.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,716.2310,817.8010,919.38
Year 2 PV (M)10,554.8010,755.8410,958.78
Year 3 PV (M)10,395.5110,693.9310,998.00
Year 4 PV (M)10,238.3210,632.0511,037.04
Year 5 PV (M)10,083.2010,570.2311,075.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)301,584.76316,151.42331,275.57
Equity Value (M)353,572.82369,621.27386,264.66
Shares Outstanding (M)54.1754.1754.17
Fair Value$6,527.28$6,823.55$7,130.80
Upside / Downside47.34%54.03%60.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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