Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Silla Co.,Ltd (004970.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32,915.72 - $174,369.95$65,481.52
Multi-Stage$26,166.87 - $28,659.21$27,389.89
Blended Fair Value$46,435.71
Current Price$9,090.00
Upside410.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.27%7.03%499.88499.88499.88507.15506.69506.69506.69253.35202.68304.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-1.43%0.09%0.00%0.00%100.00%25.00%-33.33%20.00%
Dividend Yield--5.94%5.71%4.70%4.02%4.90%5.81%3.53%1.49%1.37%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,030.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,892.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,138.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,806.191,753.871,052.32
Cash Retained (M)6,138.466,138.466,138.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,806.19-1,753.87-1,052.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,332.274,384.595,086.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share211.05277.70322.14
LTM Dividend per Share499.88499.88499.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share211.05277.70322.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend710.93777.58822.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Fair Value$32,915.72$65,481.52$174,369.95
Upside / Downside262.11%620.37%1,818.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,030.9614,741.2215,487.4416,271.4317,095.1117,960.4918,499.30
Payout Ratio56.25%63.00%69.75%76.50%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,892.509,287.0410,802.5512,447.6914,231.7016,164.4417,111.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Year 1 PV (M)8,652.698,735.848,818.99
Year 2 PV (M)9,377.209,558.299,741.11
Year 3 PV (M)10,067.2110,360.2410,658.90
Year 4 PV (M)10,723.8611,142.0511,572.35
Year 5 PV (M)11,348.2411,904.0812,481.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)362,973.02380,751.65399,220.21
Equity Value (M)413,142.22432,452.15452,493.05
Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
Fair Value$26,166.87$27,389.89$28,659.21
Upside / Downside187.86%201.32%215.28%

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