Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. (003230.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,607,820.07 - $8,170,083.28$2,882,190.23
Multi-Stage$949,814.88 - $1,039,476.62$993,824.51
Blended Fair Value$1,938,007.37
Current Price$1,529,000.00
Upside26.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.05%38.38%2,600.041,600.031,811.96808.00808.00449.59252.50151.5050.50101.00
YoY Growth--62.50%-11.70%124.25%0.00%79.72%78.05%66.67%200.00%-50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.30%0.73%1.52%0.87%0.91%0.48%0.30%0.18%0.08%0.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)369,917.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,832.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)340,084.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73,983.4946,239.6827,743.81
Cash Retained (M)340,084.96340,084.96340,084.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-73,983.49-46,239.68-27,743.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)266,101.47293,845.28312,341.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.467.467.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share35,680.0039,400.0141,880.01
LTM Dividend per Share4,000.074,000.074,000.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share35,680.0039,400.0141,880.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend39,680.0743,400.0845,880.08
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,607,820.07$2,882,190.23$8,170,083.28
Upside / Downside5.16%88.50%434.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)369,917.47393,962.11419,569.64446,841.67475,886.38506,818.99522,023.56
Payout Ratio8.06%24.45%40.84%57.23%73.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,832.5196,330.48171,347.14255,708.97350,313.90456,137.10482,871.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)88,272.6489,109.3489,946.05
Year 2 PV (M)143,880.39146,620.91149,387.28
Year 3 PV (M)196,758.32202,406.54208,161.84
Year 4 PV (M)247,005.64256,504.78266,275.31
Year 5 PV (M)294,718.42308,953.43323,733.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,113,083.986,408,348.226,714,912.92
Equity Value (M)7,083,719.387,411,943.227,752,416.64
Shares Outstanding (M)7.467.467.46
Fair Value$949,814.88$993,824.51$1,039,476.62
Upside / Downside-37.88%-35.00%-32.02%

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