Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kolon Global Corporation (003070.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,075.13 - $7,853.20$6,363.28
Multi-Stage$11,832.80 - $13,010.11$12,409.95
Blended Fair Value$9,386.61
Current Price$10,080.00
Upside-6.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.64%0.00%401.88502.27520.05520.05454.62389.19194.99131.13388.92785.20
YoY Growth---19.99%-3.42%0.00%14.39%16.81%99.60%48.70%-66.28%-50.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.84%5.54%3.65%2.36%2.13%5.62%1.95%1.32%2.70%5.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,679.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,873.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,805.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,135.861,334.91800.95
Cash Retained (M)2,805.382,805.382,805.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,135.86-1,334.91-800.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)669.521,470.462,004.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
LTM Dividend per Share401.88401.88401.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.06476.94504.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,075.13$6,363.28$7,853.20
Upside / Downside-49.65%-36.87%-22.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,679.3010,572.5110,466.7810,362.1110,258.4910,155.9110,460.58
Payout Ratio73.73%76.98%80.24%83.49%86.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,873.928,139.208,398.388,651.578,898.859,140.329,676.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,570.927,648.177,725.43
Year 2 PV (M)7,266.577,415.627,566.19
Year 3 PV (M)6,962.987,178.327,398.04
Year 4 PV (M)6,661.946,938.057,222.65
Year 5 PV (M)6,364.966,696.397,041.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)197,006.71207,265.30217,946.87
Equity Value (M)231,834.07243,141.85254,900.67
Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
Fair Value$11,832.80$12,409.95$13,010.11
Upside / Downside17.39%23.11%29.07%

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