Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Samyung Trading Co., Ltd. (002810.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$280,487.56 - $661,443.43$619,869.36
Multi-Stage$96,483.13 - $105,657.97$100,986.06
Blended Fair Value$360,427.71
Current Price$15,100.00
Upside2,286.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.54%18.86%639.04633.45593.15530.21359.27284.85255.28255.28249.87181.73
YoY Growth--0.88%6.80%11.87%47.58%26.13%11.58%0.00%2.16%37.50%60.00%
Dividend Yield--4.84%4.85%4.45%3.71%2.40%2.28%1.69%1.60%1.46%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,639.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,166.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)45,472.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,727.887,329.924,397.95
Cash Retained (M)45,472.9045,472.9045,472.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,727.88-7,329.92-4,397.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,745.0238,142.9741,074.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6317.6317.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,913.962,163.402,329.70
LTM Dividend per Share746.78746.78746.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,913.962,163.402,329.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,660.742,910.183,076.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$280,487.56$619,869.36$661,443.43
Upside / Downside1,757.53%4,005.10%4,280.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,639.3962,450.9566,510.2670,833.4375,437.6080,341.0582,751.28
Payout Ratio22.45%35.96%49.47%62.98%76.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,166.4922,459.0232,903.9544,611.8457,702.7372,306.9476,544.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,890.1221,088.1321,286.14
Year 2 PV (M)28,467.4229,009.6529,556.99
Year 3 PV (M)35,900.4836,931.0537,981.16
Year 4 PV (M)43,191.3244,852.3446,560.81
Year 5 PV (M)50,341.9752,773.5055,298.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,522,302.781,595,830.571,672,172.44
Equity Value (M)1,701,094.091,780,485.241,862,855.64
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6317.6317.63
Fair Value$96,483.13$100,986.06$105,657.97
Upside / Downside538.96%568.78%599.72%

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