Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited (0027.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.33 - $35.74$30.49
Multi-Stage$62.09 - $68.57$65.27
Blended Fair Value$47.88
Current Price$34.85
Upside37.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.36%-3.28%0.800.200.300.000.450.900.900.580.320.41
YoY Growth--300.12%-33.17%0.00%-100.00%-50.49%0.26%55.60%79.34%-21.22%-63.36%
Dividend Yield--2.42%0.46%0.58%0.00%0.74%1.57%1.80%0.96%0.95%1.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,937.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,371.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,565.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,587.462,242.161,345.30
Cash Retained (M)13,565.7813,565.7813,565.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,587.46-2,242.16-1,345.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,978.3211,323.6112,220.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,376.524,376.524,376.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.282.592.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.282.592.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.593.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-5.28%-4.28%-3.28%
Fair Value$25.33$30.49$35.74
Upside / Downside-27.31%-12.52%2.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,937.2817,169.9916,435.5215,732.4715,059.5014,415.3114,847.77
Payout Ratio24.37%37.50%50.62%63.75%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,371.516,438.218,320.0910,029.2011,576.8712,973.7813,734.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate-5.28%-4.28%-3.28%
Year 1 PV (M)5,955.126,017.996,080.86
Year 2 PV (M)7,118.367,269.457,422.13
Year 3 PV (M)7,936.778,190.808,450.19
Year 4 PV (M)8,474.118,837.669,212.80
Year 5 PV (M)8,784.059,257.629,751.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)233,484.31246,071.96259,196.76
Equity Value (M)271,752.71285,645.48300,114.13
Shares Outstanding (M)4,376.524,376.524,376.52
Fair Value$62.09$65.27$68.57
Upside / Downside78.17%87.28%96.77%

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