Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samyang Tongsang Co., Ltd (002170.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45,624.97 - $70,161.34$57,051.24
Multi-Stage$101,748.27 - $112,083.26$106,813.82
Blended Fair Value$81,932.53
Current Price$54,900.00
Upside49.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.14%6.38%1,574.221,599.441,342.681,342.681,076.02928.34848.18848.18932.99848.18
YoY Growth---1.58%19.12%0.00%24.78%15.91%9.45%0.00%-9.09%10.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.16%2.61%2.25%1.54%2.06%1.59%1.83%1.78%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,276.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,992.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,284.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,655.371,659.60995.76
Cash Retained (M)9,284.249,284.249,284.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,655.37-1,659.60-995.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,628.887,624.648,288.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.652.652.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,498.872,874.243,124.49
LTM Dividend per Share1,505.071,505.071,505.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,498.872,874.243,124.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,003.944,379.314,629.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.08%-1.08%-0.08%
Fair Value$45,624.97$57,051.24$70,161.34
Upside / Downside-16.89%3.92%27.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,276.8313,133.0312,990.7812,850.0812,710.9012,573.2312,950.42
Payout Ratio30.07%42.06%54.04%66.03%78.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,992.595,523.427,020.628,484.749,916.3311,315.9011,979.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.08%-1.08%-0.08%
Year 1 PV (M)5,133.405,185.835,238.25
Year 2 PV (M)6,064.156,188.656,314.41
Year 3 PV (M)6,811.317,022.147,237.27
Year 4 PV (M)7,398.447,705.348,021.68
Year 5 PV (M)7,846.508,255.448,681.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)236,658.91248,992.96261,835.99
Equity Value (M)269,912.72283,350.35297,328.86
Shares Outstanding (M)2.652.652.65
Fair Value$101,748.27$106,813.82$112,083.26
Upside / Downside85.33%94.56%104.16%

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