Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. (000975.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Other Precious MetalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.04 - $24.25$18.43
Multi-Stage$11.45 - $12.47$11.95
Blended Fair Value$15.19
Current Price$22.83
Upside-33.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.17%13.84%0.290.290.270.300.150.150.130.000.080.08
YoY Growth---1.38%8.87%-11.33%97.49%3.16%16.82%7,328.49%-97.82%-5.11%5.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%1.56%2.02%3.23%1.71%1.43%1.55%0.02%1.05%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,905.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,039.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,865.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)581.06363.16217.90
Cash Retained (M)1,865.441,865.441,865.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-581.06-363.16-217.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,284.381,502.281,647.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,776.182,776.182,776.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.540.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.540.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate11.79%11.79%11.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.04$18.43$24.25
Upside / Downside-38.50%-19.27%6.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,905.303,094.153,295.273,509.463,737.573,980.524,099.93
Payout Ratio35.79%46.63%57.48%68.32%79.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,039.861,442.911,893.962,397.552,958.603,582.463,792.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.79%11.79%11.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,278.601,290.721,302.84
Year 2 PV (M)1,487.181,515.501,544.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,668.231,716.121,764.92
Year 4 PV (M)1,824.201,894.351,966.51
Year 5 PV (M)1,957.322,051.862,150.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,570.2124,708.6625,890.68
Equity Value (M)31,785.7333,177.2134,619.06
Shares Outstanding (M)2,776.182,776.182,776.18
Fair Value$11.45$11.95$12.47
Upside / Downside-49.85%-47.65%-45.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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