Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $8.63 - $12.24 | $10.41 |
| Multi-Stage | $14.87 - $16.32 | $15.58 |
| Blended Fair Value | $12.99 | |
| Current Price | $15.60 | |
| Upside | -16.70% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -15.37% | 8.46% | 0.62 | 0.85 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.74 | 1.43 | 1.49 | 1.48 | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -26.65% | -49.23% | -0.42% | -3.59% | 21.42% | -4.03% | 0.36% | 289.65% | 17.86% | 17.31% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.61% | 7.07% | 11.01% | 8.65% | 8.50% | 9.83% | 9.00% | 8.58% | 2.09% | 2.36% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 23.90 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 10.89 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 13.01 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4.78 | 2.99 | 1.79 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 13.01 | 13.01 | 13.01 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4.78 | -2.99 | -1.79 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 8.23 | 10.02 | 11.22 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 18.17 | 18.17 | 18.17 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.22 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.77% | -1.77% | -0.77% |
| Fair Value | $8.63 | $10.41 | $12.24 |
| Upside / Downside | -44.71% | -33.28% | -21.53% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 23.90 | 23.48 | 23.06 | 22.65 | 22.25 | 21.86 | 22.52 |
| Payout Ratio | 45.57% | 54.46% | 63.34% | 72.23% | 81.11% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 10.89 | 12.78 | 14.61 | 16.36 | 18.05 | 19.67 | 20.83 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.77% | -1.77% | -0.77% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 11.60 | 11.72 | 11.84 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 12.02 | 12.27 | 12.52 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 12.22 | 12.60 | 12.99 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 12.23 | 12.74 | 13.27 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 12.10 | 12.73 | 13.39 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 209.97 | 220.99 | 232.47 |
| Equity Value (M) | 270.14 | 283.06 | 296.49 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 18.17 | 18.17 | 18.17 |
| Fair Value | $14.87 | $15.58 | $16.32 |
| Upside / Downside | -4.68% | -0.12% | 4.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |