Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Wira Global Solusi Tbk (WGSH.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.57 - $80.65$68.40
Multi-Stage$92.25 - $101.02$96.55
Blended Fair Value$82.48
Current Price$174.00
Upside-52.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.004.001.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---75.00%300.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.12%4.30%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,725.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,212.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,512.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,745.091,090.68654.41
Cash Retained (M)3,512.933,512.933,512.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,745.09-1,090.68-654.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,767.852,422.252,858.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,042.501,042.501,042.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.702.322.74
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.702.322.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.707.327.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$56.57$68.40$80.65
Upside / Downside-67.49%-60.69%-53.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,725.438,638.188,551.808,466.288,381.618,297.808,546.73
Payout Ratio59.74%65.79%71.84%77.90%83.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,212.505,683.176,143.916,594.867,036.187,468.027,905.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,133.025,185.405,237.77
Year 2 PV (M)5,011.975,114.785,218.63
Year 3 PV (M)4,859.055,009.325,162.66
Year 4 PV (M)4,682.364,876.425,076.46
Year 5 PV (M)4,488.644,722.384,965.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,000.3575,749.5879,653.39
Equity Value (M)96,175.40100,657.88105,314.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,042.501,042.501,042.50
Fair Value$92.25$96.55$101.02
Upside / Downside-46.98%-44.51%-41.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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