Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Vontier Corporation (VNT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.50 - $26.40$22.38
Multi-Stage$27.83 - $30.61$29.19
Blended Fair Value$25.79
Current Price$42.16
Upside-38.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.100.110.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.94%-2.52%25.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.23%0.39%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)406.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)391.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.2250.7630.46
Cash Retained (M)391.30391.30391.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.22-50.76-30.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)310.08340.54360.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.05149.05149.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.282.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.282.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.50$22.38$26.40
Upside / Downside-56.11%-46.91%-37.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)406.10402.04398.02394.04390.10386.20397.78
Payout Ratio3.64%20.92%38.19%55.46%72.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.8084.09151.99218.52283.71347.58367.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)75.9976.7677.54
Year 2 PV (M)124.11126.66129.23
Year 3 PV (M)161.25166.24171.32
Year 4 PV (M)189.18197.02205.10
Year 5 PV (M)209.43220.34231.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,387.533,563.923,747.59
Equity Value (M)4,147.494,350.944,562.48
Shares Outstanding (M)149.05149.05149.05
Fair Value$27.83$29.19$30.61
Upside / Downside-34.00%-30.76%-27.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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