Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $57.60 - $152.80 | $88.08 |
| Multi-Stage | $40.88 - $44.59 | $42.70 |
| Blended Fair Value | $65.39 | |
| Current Price | $38.81 | |
| Upside | 68.49% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 17.65% | 26.53% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.18% | 10.67% | -0.25% | 97.29% | 3.31% | 27.49% | 78.05% | 26.83% | 22.56% | 32.20% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.63% | 4.48% | 3.28% | 3.43% | 1.98% | 2.23% | 1.24% | 0.65% | 0.70% | 0.78% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 13.29 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 7.43 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 5.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2.66 | 1.66 | 1.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 5.86 | 5.86 | 5.86 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2.66 | -1.66 | -1.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3.20 | 4.19 | 4.86 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 5.41 | 5.41 | 5.41 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.59 | 0.78 | 0.90 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.59 | 0.78 | 0.90 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.96 | 2.15 | 2.27 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $57.60 | $88.08 | $152.80 |
| Upside / Downside | 48.42% | 126.95% | 293.72% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 13.29 | 14.15 | 15.07 | 16.05 | 17.09 | 18.21 | 18.75 |
| Payout Ratio | 55.94% | 62.75% | 69.56% | 76.38% | 83.19% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 7.43 | 8.88 | 10.48 | 12.26 | 14.22 | 16.39 | 17.35 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 8.06 | 8.14 | 8.22 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 8.64 | 8.81 | 8.97 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 9.18 | 9.44 | 9.71 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 9.67 | 10.04 | 10.42 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 10.11 | 10.60 | 11.11 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 175.56 | 184.04 | 192.85 |
| Equity Value (M) | 221.23 | 231.07 | 241.27 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 5.41 | 5.41 | 5.41 |
| Fair Value | $40.88 | $42.70 | $44.59 |
| Upside / Downside | 5.34% | 10.03% | 14.88% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |