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UOL Group Limited (U14.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.00 - $62.60$39.54
Multi-Stage$36.85 - $40.46$38.62
Blended Fair Value$39.08
Current Price$6.18
Upside532.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.75%11.45%0.200.180.150.150.170.170.170.090.080.07
YoY Growth--11.12%20.05%0.03%-14.22%0.06%0.08%104.90%11.93%4.49%7.67%
Dividend Yield--3.88%2.92%2.23%2.11%2.27%2.10%2.82%0.95%1.27%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,136.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)815.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)227.28142.0585.23
Cash Retained (M)815.32815.32815.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-227.28-142.05-85.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)588.04673.27730.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)845.00845.00845.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.800.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.800.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.081.181.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.12%3.12%4.12%
Fair Value$27.00$39.54$62.60
Upside / Downside336.90%539.75%912.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,136.391,171.901,208.531,246.291,285.241,325.401,365.16
Payout Ratio28.25%40.60%52.95%65.30%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.08475.83639.94813.85998.001,192.861,262.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.12%3.12%4.12%
Year 1 PV (M)443.73448.07452.42
Year 2 PV (M)556.51567.46578.52
Year 3 PV (M)660.00679.58699.54
Year 4 PV (M)754.74784.74815.62
Year 5 PV (M)841.25883.25926.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,879.6629,271.6330,718.65
Equity Value (M)31,135.8932,634.7434,191.67
Shares Outstanding (M)845.00845.00845.00
Fair Value$36.85$38.62$40.46
Upside / Downside496.23%524.94%554.75%

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