Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Turners Automotive Group Limited (TRA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.39 - $123.62$93.46
Multi-Stage$15.38 - $16.82$16.09
Blended Fair Value$54.77
Current Price$5.30
Upside933.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.45%10.62%0.150.250.220.160.190.170.170.130.100.09
YoY Growth---37.59%10.35%44.49%-19.94%16.67%-3.10%33.26%32.83%13.15%52.04%
Dividend Yield--2.92%5.17%6.78%4.43%6.26%7.70%5.69%4.05%2.98%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.016.884.13
Cash Retained (M)33.4133.4133.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.01-6.88-4.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.3926.5229.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.6088.6088.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.39$93.46$123.62
Upside / Downside511.10%1,663.39%2,232.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.0758.6562.4666.5270.8575.4577.71
Payout Ratio39.34%49.47%59.60%69.74%79.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.6629.0137.2346.3956.5867.9171.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)26.8327.0927.34
Year 2 PV (M)31.8432.4433.06
Year 3 PV (M)36.6937.7438.81
Year 4 PV (M)41.3842.9744.61
Year 5 PV (M)45.9348.1550.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,180.141,237.141,296.33
Equity Value (M)1,362.811,425.531,490.60
Shares Outstanding (M)88.6088.6088.60
Fair Value$15.38$16.09$16.82
Upside / Downside190.23%203.59%217.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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