Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TFI International Inc. (TFII)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$221.08 - $765.42$717.32
Multi-Stage$99.49 - $108.81$104.06
Blended Fair Value$410.69
Current Price$88.06
Upside366.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.56%10.64%1.591.471.111.280.850.740.650.650.570.59
YoY Growth--8.61%31.94%-13.44%51.70%14.37%14.40%-0.88%15.15%-3.52%1.39%
Dividend Yield--2.06%0.92%0.93%1.21%1.13%2.38%1.60%1.95%1.80%2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)323.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)146.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)176.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.6940.4324.26
Cash Retained (M)176.70176.70176.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.69-40.43-24.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)112.01136.27152.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.0484.0484.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.331.621.81
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.331.621.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.083.373.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$221.08$717.32$765.42
Upside / Downside151.06%714.58%769.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)323.46344.48366.88390.72416.12443.17456.46
Payout Ratio45.37%54.30%63.22%72.15%81.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)146.76187.05231.95281.90337.37398.85422.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)173.22174.86176.50
Year 2 PV (M)198.92202.71206.54
Year 3 PV (M)223.89230.31236.86
Year 4 PV (M)248.13257.67267.49
Year 5 PV (M)271.66284.78298.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,245.237,595.187,958.52
Equity Value (M)8,361.058,745.529,144.31
Shares Outstanding (M)84.0484.0484.04
Fair Value$99.49$104.06$108.81
Upside / Downside12.98%18.17%23.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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