Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Starwood European Real Estate Finance Ltd. (SWEF.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.91 - $1.29$1.10
Multi-Stage$1.52 - $1.66$1.59
Blended Fair Value$1.34
Current Price$0.92
Upside46.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.24%1.89%0.040.070.060.060.070.070.060.060.050.05
YoY Growth---48.53%30.12%-5.20%-12.35%4.71%5.09%0.00%14.43%17.56%46.35%
Dividend Yield--4.14%8.16%6.37%6.36%7.58%6.21%6.08%5.69%5.02%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.996.874.12
Cash Retained (M)4.944.944.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.99-6.87-4.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.05-1.930.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)393.15393.15393.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.91$1.10$1.29
Upside / Downside-0.56%19.86%40.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.9354.3853.8453.3052.7752.2453.81
Payout Ratio91.01%90.81%90.60%90.40%90.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.9949.3848.7848.1947.6047.0249.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.4444.9045.35
Year 2 PV (M)39.5140.3241.13
Year 3 PV (M)35.1236.2037.31
Year 4 PV (M)31.2232.5133.84
Year 5 PV (M)27.7529.1930.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)419.65441.51464.26
Equity Value (M)597.68624.63652.60
Shares Outstanding (M)393.15393.15393.15
Fair Value$1.52$1.59$1.66
Upside / Downside65.60%73.07%80.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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