Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Schloss Wachenheim AG (SWA.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.53 - $231.13$72.66
Multi-Stage$35.06 - $38.41$36.70
Blended Fair Value$54.68
Current Price$14.50
Upside277.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.71%5.84%0.600.600.600.500.400.500.500.480.430.40
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%20.00%25.00%-20.00%0.00%4.16%11.63%7.51%17.64%
Dividend Yield--4.13%3.87%3.72%2.99%2.08%3.18%2.88%2.42%2.06%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.891.180.71
Cash Retained (M)4.714.714.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.89-1.18-0.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.823.524.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.937.937.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.440.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.440.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.951.041.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate3.75%4.75%5.75%
Fair Value$39.53$72.66$231.13
Upside / Downside172.63%401.12%1,494.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.469.9110.3810.8711.3911.9312.29
Payout Ratio50.24%58.19%66.14%74.10%82.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.755.776.878.069.3510.7411.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate3.75%4.75%5.75%
Year 1 PV (M)5.375.435.48
Year 2 PV (M)5.966.086.20
Year 3 PV (M)6.526.726.91
Year 4 PV (M)7.057.337.61
Year 5 PV (M)7.567.938.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)245.47257.53270.06
Equity Value (M)277.94291.01304.57
Shares Outstanding (M)7.937.937.93
Fair Value$35.06$36.70$38.41
Upside / Downside141.76%153.12%164.92%

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