Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Sumber Mas Konstruksi Tbk (SMKM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.82 - $23.81$20.27
Multi-Stage$25.07 - $27.52$26.27
Blended Fair Value$23.27
Current Price$76.00
Upside-69.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.501.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.02%2.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,225.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)626.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,599.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)645.17403.23241.94
Cash Retained (M)2,599.352,599.352,599.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-645.17-403.23-241.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,954.182,196.122,357.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,253.001,253.001,253.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.561.751.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.561.751.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.82$20.27$23.81
Upside / Downside-77.87%-73.32%-68.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,225.853,193.593,161.663,130.043,098.743,067.753,159.79
Payout Ratio19.42%33.54%47.65%61.77%75.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)626.501,071.031,506.621,933.382,351.462,760.982,922.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)963.83973.67983.50
Year 2 PV (M)1,220.111,245.141,270.42
Year 3 PV (M)1,409.001,452.581,497.04
Year 4 PV (M)1,542.161,606.081,671.96
Year 5 PV (M)1,629.501,714.351,802.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,642.9325,926.1527,262.27
Equity Value (M)31,407.5432,917.9634,487.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,253.001,253.001,253.00
Fair Value$25.07$26.27$27.52
Upside / Downside-67.02%-65.43%-63.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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