Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk (SMCB.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$833.17 - $1,294.29$1,046.41
Multi-Stage$1,936.41 - $2,132.00$2,032.28
Blended Fair Value$1,539.34
Current Price$775.00
Upside98.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.91%29.0727.2223.9321.593.060.000.000.0011.3126.27
YoY Growth--6.82%13.75%10.81%606.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-56.93%-64.46%
Dividend Yield--3.75%2.09%1.81%1.24%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.25%2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)797,079.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)363,167.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)433,912.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)159,415.8099,634.8859,780.93
Cash Retained (M)433,912.00433,912.00433,912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-159,415.80-99,634.88-59,780.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)274,496.20334,277.13374,131.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
LTM Dividend per Share40.2740.2740.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend70.7077.3381.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$833.17$1,046.41$1,294.29
Upside / Downside7.51%35.02%67.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)797,079.00789,108.21781,217.13773,404.96765,670.91758,014.20780,754.62
Payout Ratio45.56%54.45%63.34%72.22%81.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)363,167.00429,667.74494,802.15558,590.91621,054.41682,212.78722,198.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)400,060.24404,142.49408,224.74
Year 2 PV (M)428,960.07437,759.02446,647.30
Year 3 PV (M)450,891.23464,835.35479,064.03
Year 4 PV (M)466,767.08486,112.40506,052.90
Year 5 PV (M)477,400.71502,260.08528,144.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,241,141.8116,034,783.4316,861,147.42
Equity Value (M)17,465,221.1518,329,892.7619,229,280.80
Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
Fair Value$1,936.41$2,032.28$2,132.00
Upside / Downside149.86%162.23%175.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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