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SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited (SJWD.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.09 - $119.80$112.27
Multi-Stage$17.88 - $19.55$18.70
Blended Fair Value$65.48
Current Price$9.50
Upside589.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.15%3.43%0.250.440.140.120.140.120.140.050.010.15
YoY Growth---43.09%212.00%13.64%-12.00%19.05%-16.00%212.50%249.71%-91.16%-18.33%
Dividend Yield--3.62%2.80%0.70%0.68%1.64%2.27%1.69%0.48%0.13%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,091.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)684.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)406.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)218.24136.4081.84
Cash Retained (M)406.50406.50406.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-218.24-136.40-81.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)188.26270.10324.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,811.461,811.461,811.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.09$112.27$119.80
Upside / Downside427.26%1,081.79%1,161.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,091.201,162.131,237.661,318.111,403.791,495.041,539.89
Payout Ratio62.75%68.20%73.65%79.10%84.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)684.70792.54911.521,042.611,186.901,345.531,424.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)737.08744.07751.06
Year 2 PV (M)788.41803.42818.58
Year 3 PV (M)838.69862.76887.29
Year 4 PV (M)887.94922.08957.21
Year 5 PV (M)936.17981.391,028.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,194.6129,556.4230,970.34
Equity Value (M)32,382.8833,870.1435,412.82
Shares Outstanding (M)1,811.461,811.461,811.46
Fair Value$17.88$18.70$19.55
Upside / Downside88.18%96.82%105.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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