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Silicon Craft Technology Public Company Limited (SICT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.35 - $2.01$1.66
Multi-Stage$2.62 - $2.88$2.75
Blended Fair Value$2.21
Current Price$2.48
Upside-11.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-20.25%0.00%0.040.010.040.040.040.110.100.000.290.09
YoY Growth--274.83%-73.93%0.16%-17.09%-60.23%8.44%0.00%-100.00%211.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.08%0.18%0.44%0.75%1.12%9.51%8.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)77.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.609.755.85
Cash Retained (M)37.6937.6937.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.60-9.75-5.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.0927.9431.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)475.79475.79475.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.35$1.66$2.01
Upside / Downside-45.67%-32.94%-18.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)77.9977.2176.4475.6874.9274.1776.40
Payout Ratio51.68%59.34%67.01%74.67%82.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.3045.8251.2256.5161.6966.7570.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.1842.6143.04
Year 2 PV (M)43.4044.2945.19
Year 3 PV (M)44.0845.4446.83
Year 4 PV (M)44.2946.1248.02
Year 5 PV (M)44.1246.4248.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,029.171,082.771,138.57
Equity Value (M)1,247.241,307.641,370.45
Shares Outstanding (M)475.79475.79475.79
Fair Value$2.62$2.75$2.88
Upside / Downside5.70%10.82%16.14%

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