Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Narmada Gelatines Limited (SHAWGELTIN.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,619.11 - $7,505.31$3,637.53
Multi-Stage$1,265.49 - $1,388.78$1,325.98
Blended Fair Value$2,481.76
Current Price$387.90
Upside539.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.67%9.88%10.000.00109.9810.0110.0012.054.774.834.824.20
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%999.04%0.09%-17.05%152.64%-1.22%0.14%14.86%7.69%
Dividend Yield--2.58%0.00%25.87%4.96%5.47%7.74%3.06%3.58%3.54%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)231.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)201.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.3628.9817.39
Cash Retained (M)201.55201.55201.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.36-28.98-17.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.19172.58184.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.056.056.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.6528.5230.44
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.6528.5230.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.6533.5235.44
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Fair Value$1,619.11$3,637.53$7,505.31
Upside / Downside317.40%837.75%1,834.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)231.80243.16255.07267.57280.68294.44303.27
Payout Ratio13.05%28.44%43.83%59.22%74.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.2569.15111.80158.46209.42264.99280.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Year 1 PV (M)64.7065.3265.94
Year 2 PV (M)97.8699.75101.66
Year 3 PV (M)129.76133.55137.40
Year 4 PV (M)160.45166.72173.16
Year 5 PV (M)189.95199.27208.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,014.507,358.627,716.11
Equity Value (M)7,657.218,023.228,403.23
Shares Outstanding (M)6.056.056.05
Fair Value$1,265.49$1,325.98$1,388.78
Upside / Downside226.24%241.84%258.03%

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