Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $12.03 - $33.87 | $31.74 |
| Multi-Stage | $5.02 - $5.49 | $5.25 |
| Blended Fair Value | $18.50 | |
| Current Price | $0.66 | |
| Upside | 2,717.89% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 67.93% | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -63.47% | 36.36% | 1,174.79% | 116.52% | -2.86% | -2.21% | 57.86% | -33.52% | -59.46% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 11.31% | 33.06% | 15.63% | 2.75% | 2.83% | 4.73% | 4.78% | 1.95% | 4.17% | 8.72% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 91.79 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 55.63 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 36.15 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 18.36 | 11.47 | 6.88 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 36.15 | 36.15 | 36.15 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -18.36 | -11.47 | -6.88 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 17.80 | 24.68 | 29.27 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 538.04 | 538.04 | 538.04 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.51% | 6.51% | 6.51% |
| Growth Rate | 5.31% | 6.31% | 7.31% |
| Fair Value | $12.03 | $31.74 | $33.87 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,732.23% | 4,735.41% | 5,059.80% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 91.79 | 97.58 | 103.74 | 110.29 | 117.26 | 124.66 | 128.40 |
| Payout Ratio | 60.61% | 66.49% | 72.37% | 78.24% | 84.12% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 55.63 | 64.88 | 75.08 | 86.30 | 98.64 | 112.19 | 118.77 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.51% | 6.51% | 6.51% |
| Growth Rate | 5.31% | 6.31% | 7.31% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 60.34 | 60.92 | 61.49 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 64.94 | 66.18 | 67.43 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 69.43 | 71.42 | 73.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 73.81 | 76.65 | 79.57 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 78.08 | 81.85 | 85.78 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 2,355.60 | 2,469.59 | 2,587.94 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,702.20 | 2,826.61 | 2,955.67 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 538.04 | 538.04 | 538.04 |
| Fair Value | $5.02 | $5.25 | $5.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 665.14% | 700.37% | 736.91% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |