Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ripley Corp S.A. (RIPLEY.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,188.98 - $7,297.60$6,836.17
Multi-Stage$13,309.54 - $14,672.59$13,977.76
Blended Fair Value$10,406.96
Current Price$468.00
Upside2,123.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0020.005.0014.0011.3511.6312.1610.9511.6215.88
YoY Growth---100.00%300.00%-64.29%23.31%-2.41%-4.34%11.10%-5.84%-26.80%42.82%
Dividend Yield--0.00%9.35%2.95%9.87%4.37%5.98%2.18%1.77%2.71%5.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74,093.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,100.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)61,992.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,818.679,261.675,557.00
Cash Retained (M)61,992.7961,992.7961,992.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,818.67-9,261.67-5,557.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)47,174.1252,731.1256,435.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,936.051,936.051,936.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.3727.2429.15
LTM Dividend per Share6.256.256.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.3727.2429.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.6233.4935.40
WACC / Discount Rate-21.63%-21.63%-21.63%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Fair Value$6,188.98$6,836.17$7,297.60
Upside / Downside1,222.43%1,360.72%1,459.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74,093.3575,629.5577,197.6178,798.1780,431.9282,099.5584,562.54
Payout Ratio16.33%31.07%45.80%60.53%75.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,100.5623,494.4735,355.6647,698.5860,538.1373,889.5978,220.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-21.63%-21.63%-21.63%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)29,686.4929,980.2030,273.91
Year 2 PV (M)56,447.5557,570.0458,703.57
Year 3 PV (M)96,224.3099,108.72102,050.22
Year 4 PV (M)154,312.61160,510.79166,893.85
Year 5 PV (M)237,984.54249,992.68262,480.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,193,308.1526,464,502.9527,786,500.82
Equity Value (M)25,767,963.6327,061,665.3828,406,903.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,936.051,936.051,936.05
Fair Value$13,309.54$13,977.76$14,672.59
Upside / Downside2,743.92%2,886.70%3,035.17%

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