Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,533.04 - $8,261.79 | $3,007.76 |
| Multi-Stage | $851.28 - $931.94 | $890.87 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,949.31 | |
| Current Price | $562.27 | |
| Upside | 246.69% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 4,578.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 277.60 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4,300.40 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 915.60 | 572.25 | 343.35 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4,300.40 | 4,300.40 | 4,300.40 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -915.60 | -572.25 | -343.35 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,384.80 | 3,728.15 | 3,957.05 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 110.20 | 110.20 | 110.20 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 30.72 | 33.83 | 35.91 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2.52 | 2.52 | 2.52 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 30.72 | 33.83 | 35.91 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 33.23 | 36.35 | 38.43 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.79% | 7.79% | 7.79% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,533.04 | $3,007.76 | $8,261.79 |
| Upside / Downside | 172.65% | 434.93% | 1,369.36% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 4,578.00 | 4,875.57 | 5,192.48 | 5,529.99 | 5,889.44 | 6,272.26 | 6,460.42 |
| Payout Ratio | 6.06% | 22.85% | 39.64% | 56.43% | 73.21% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 277.60 | 1,114.12 | 2,058.21 | 3,120.33 | 4,311.82 | 5,645.03 | 5,975.89 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.79% | 7.79% | 7.79% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,023.92 | 1,033.63 | 1,043.33 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,738.45 | 1,771.56 | 1,804.99 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,422.19 | 2,491.72 | 2,562.57 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 3,076.14 | 3,194.43 | 3,316.11 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 3,701.24 | 3,880.01 | 4,065.62 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 81,848.68 | 85,802.00 | 89,906.63 |
| Equity Value (M) | 93,810.62 | 98,173.36 | 102,699.26 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 110.20 | 110.20 | 110.20 |
| Fair Value | $851.28 | $890.87 | $931.94 |
| Upside / Downside | 51.40% | 58.44% | 65.75% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |