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Redox Limited (RDX.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.66 - $4.12$3.34
Multi-Stage$6.17 - $6.80$6.48
Blended Fair Value$4.91
Current Price$2.16
Upside127.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.120.060.160.070.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--108.33%-61.46%120.65%325.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.78%1.95%6.43%2.91%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.7818.6111.17
Cash Retained (M)67.5067.5067.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.78-18.61-11.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.7248.8956.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)525.49525.49525.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.66$3.34$4.12
Upside / Downside23.06%54.45%90.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.89147.40145.93144.47143.02141.59145.84
Payout Ratio54.66%61.73%68.80%75.87%82.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.3990.99100.39109.60118.61127.43134.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)84.6985.5586.42
Year 2 PV (M)86.9788.7590.55
Year 3 PV (M)88.3791.1093.89
Year 4 PV (M)89.0192.7096.50
Year 5 PV (M)89.0093.6498.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,806.832,952.993,105.18
Equity Value (M)3,244.873,404.733,571.00
Shares Outstanding (M)525.49525.49525.49
Fair Value$6.17$6.48$6.80
Upside / Downside185.88%199.96%214.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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