Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $11.05 - $16.74 | $13.73 |
| Multi-Stage | $23.69 - $26.01 | $24.83 |
| Blended Fair Value | $19.28 | |
| Current Price | $10.22 | |
| Upside | 88.63% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.13 | 1.19 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -5.47% | 57.21% | 58.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 12.12% | 7.40% | 4.09% | 2.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 126.48 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 109.05 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 17.43 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 25.30 | 15.81 | 9.49 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 17.43 | 17.43 | 17.43 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -25.30 | -15.81 | -9.49 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -7.86 | 1.62 | 7.95 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 99.35 | 99.35 | 99.35 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.08 | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.08 | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.02 | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $11.05 | $13.73 | $16.74 |
| Upside / Downside | 8.10% | 34.30% | 63.80% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 126.48 | 125.22 | 123.97 | 122.73 | 121.50 | 120.29 | 123.89 |
| Payout Ratio | 86.22% | 86.97% | 87.73% | 88.49% | 89.24% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 109.05 | 108.91 | 108.76 | 108.60 | 108.43 | 108.26 | 114.60 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 100.72 | 101.75 | 102.78 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 93.02 | 94.93 | 96.86 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 85.90 | 88.56 | 91.27 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 79.33 | 82.61 | 86.00 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 73.25 | 77.06 | 81.03 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,921.78 | 2,021.85 | 2,126.05 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,354.00 | 2,466.77 | 2,583.99 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 99.35 | 99.35 | 99.35 |
| Fair Value | $23.69 | $24.83 | $26.01 |
| Upside / Downside | 131.84% | 142.95% | 154.49% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |