Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.56 - $298.82$173.22
Multi-Stage$92.24 - $100.85$96.47
Blended Fair Value$134.84
Current Price$107.26
Upside25.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.47%6.25%1.292.200.950.880.730.720.720.710.710.71
YoY Growth---41.46%131.82%7.46%20.79%2.14%-0.59%1.95%-0.21%0.05%0.70%
Dividend Yield--1.20%2.45%1.41%1.24%1.02%0.88%0.96%1.06%0.83%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)147.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)89.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.5818.4911.09
Cash Retained (M)89.7889.7889.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.58-18.49-11.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)60.2071.2978.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.0630.0630.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.002.372.62
LTM Dividend per Share1.931.931.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.002.372.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.944.304.55
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$113.56$173.22$298.82
Upside / Downside5.87%61.49%178.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)147.89156.05164.66173.75183.34193.45199.26
Payout Ratio39.29%49.43%59.58%69.72%79.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.1177.1498.10121.13146.41174.11184.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)70.6671.3372.01
Year 2 PV (M)82.3083.8885.48
Year 3 PV (M)93.0995.7898.53
Year 4 PV (M)103.06107.06111.17
Year 5 PV (M)112.25117.73123.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,311.602,424.312,541.39
Equity Value (M)2,772.952,900.103,032.00
Shares Outstanding (M)30.0630.0630.06
Fair Value$92.24$96.47$100.85
Upside / Downside-14.01%-10.06%-5.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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