Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Panther Securities PLC (PNS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.79 - $8.83$7.21
Multi-Stage$8.71 - $9.55$9.12
Blended Fair Value$8.17
Current Price$3.20
Upside155.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.21%7.10%0.120.120.180.120.060.270.230.120.160.13
YoY Growth---0.14%-33.88%49.39%100.00%-77.78%17.41%92.66%-25.67%23.10%118.88%
Dividend Yield--3.75%4.07%6.16%4.59%3.48%7.20%6.39%3.81%5.29%3.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.221.390.83
Cash Retained (M)6.926.926.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.22-1.39-0.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.705.536.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.4517.4517.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.59
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-0.14%0.86%1.86%
Fair Value$5.79$7.21$8.83
Upside / Downside80.80%125.36%176.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.1111.2111.3011.4011.5011.6011.95
Payout Ratio37.70%48.16%58.62%69.08%79.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.195.406.637.889.1510.4411.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-0.14%0.86%1.86%
Year 1 PV (M)4.924.975.02
Year 2 PV (M)5.505.615.72
Year 3 PV (M)5.966.146.32
Year 4 PV (M)6.316.566.83
Year 5 PV (M)6.566.897.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)122.74129.01135.53
Equity Value (M)151.98159.18166.66
Shares Outstanding (M)17.4517.4517.45
Fair Value$8.71$9.12$9.55
Upside / Downside172.22%185.12%198.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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