Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3.45 - $5.61 | $4.42 |
| Multi-Stage | $6.69 - $7.34 | $7.01 |
| Blended Fair Value | $5.71 | |
| Current Price | $3.91 | |
| Upside | 46.10% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 1.50% | 3.48% | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1.99% | 6.30% | 0.01% | -0.05% | -0.61% | 18.50% | -2.04% | 3.32% | 3.21% | 5.56% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.36% | 7.58% | 6.14% | 5.03% | 6.45% | 8.39% | 5.25% | 5.44% | 4.37% | 4.45% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 35.15 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 30.91 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4.24 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 7.03 | 4.39 | 2.64 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4.24 | 4.24 | 4.24 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -7.03 | -4.39 | -2.64 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -2.79 | -0.15 | 1.61 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 111.33 | 111.33 | 111.33 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.81% | 6.81% | 6.81% |
| Growth Rate | -0.48% | 0.52% | 1.52% |
| Fair Value | $3.45 | $4.42 | $5.61 |
| Upside / Downside | -11.78% | 12.96% | 43.41% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 35.15 | 35.34 | 35.52 | 35.71 | 35.89 | 36.08 | 37.16 |
| Payout Ratio | 87.93% | 88.34% | 88.76% | 89.17% | 89.59% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 30.91 | 31.22 | 31.53 | 31.84 | 32.15 | 32.47 | 34.37 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.81% | 6.81% | 6.81% |
| Growth Rate | -0.48% | 0.52% | 1.52% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 28.94 | 29.23 | 29.52 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 27.09 | 27.64 | 28.19 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 25.36 | 26.13 | 26.92 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 23.74 | 24.71 | 25.70 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 22.22 | 23.36 | 24.54 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 617.51 | 649.16 | 682.10 |
| Equity Value (M) | 744.85 | 780.22 | 816.97 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 111.33 | 111.33 | 111.33 |
| Fair Value | $6.69 | $7.01 | $7.34 |
| Upside / Downside | 71.11% | 79.24% | 87.68% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |