Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $26.33 - $57.54 | $53.93 |
| Multi-Stage | $9.16 - $10.01 | $9.58 |
| Blended Fair Value | $31.75 | |
| Current Price | $3.99 | |
| Upside | 695.79% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 31.02% | 12.85% | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -48.09% | 102.92% | -38.96% | 159.64% | 131.29% | -4.68% | 50,700.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% | -9.68% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.44% | 8.50% | 4.20% | 5.26% | 2.41% | 3.46% | 2.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.52% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 12.09 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 10.39 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1.70 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2.42 | 1.51 | 0.91 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2.42 | -1.51 | -0.91 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -0.71 | 0.19 | 0.80 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 41.76 | 41.76 | 41.76 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.41% | 6.41% | 7.41% |
| Fair Value | $26.33 | $53.93 | $57.54 |
| Upside / Downside | 559.95% | 1,251.50% | 1,342.16% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 12.09 | 12.87 | 13.69 | 14.57 | 15.51 | 16.50 | 16.99 |
| Payout Ratio | 85.91% | 86.73% | 87.55% | 88.36% | 89.18% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 10.39 | 11.16 | 11.99 | 12.88 | 13.83 | 14.85 | 15.72 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.41% | 6.41% | 7.41% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 10.40 | 10.50 | 10.59 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 10.40 | 10.60 | 10.80 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 10.41 | 10.71 | 11.01 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 10.41 | 10.82 | 11.23 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 10.42 | 10.92 | 11.44 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 330.53 | 346.51 | 363.10 |
| Equity Value (M) | 382.58 | 400.06 | 418.19 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 41.76 | 41.76 | 41.76 |
| Fair Value | $9.16 | $9.58 | $10.01 |
| Upside / Downside | 129.59% | 140.08% | 150.96% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |