Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Pebble Group plc (PEBB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.48 - $0.68$0.58
Multi-Stage$0.75 - $0.82$0.79
Blended Fair Value$0.68
Current Price$0.52
Upside31.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--99.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.66%1.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.371.480.89
Cash Retained (M)6.906.906.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.37-1.48-0.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.525.416.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.71165.71165.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.48$0.58$0.68
Upside / Downside-8.08%11.02%30.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.8611.7411.6311.5111.4011.2811.62
Payout Ratio41.88%51.50%61.13%70.75%80.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.976.057.118.149.1610.1510.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.465.515.57
Year 2 PV (M)5.785.906.02
Year 3 PV (M)5.986.166.35
Year 4 PV (M)6.066.316.57
Year 5 PV (M)6.066.386.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)95.20100.16105.32
Equity Value (M)124.54130.42136.54
Shares Outstanding (M)165.71165.71165.71
Fair Value$0.75$0.79$0.82
Upside / Downside44.53%51.36%58.46%

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