Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5.75 - $10.86 | $7.82 |
| Multi-Stage | $9.59 - $10.53 | $10.05 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8.94 | |
| Current Price | $2.94 | |
| Upside | 203.98% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 36.09% | 0.00% | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 5.00% | -48.63% | 765.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 83.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.01% | 6.52% | 12.22% | 1.11% | 1.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 469.61 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 257.57 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 212.04 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 93.92 | 58.70 | 35.22 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 212.04 | 212.04 | 212.04 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -93.92 | -58.70 | -35.22 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 118.11 | 153.34 | 176.82 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,237.21 | 1,237.21 | 1,237.21 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 1.01% | 2.01% | 3.01% |
| Fair Value | $5.75 | $7.82 | $10.86 |
| Upside / Downside | 95.69% | 166.06% | 269.28% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 469.61 | 479.05 | 488.69 | 498.52 | 508.54 | 518.77 | 534.34 |
| Payout Ratio | 54.85% | 61.88% | 68.91% | 75.94% | 82.97% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 257.57 | 296.43 | 336.75 | 378.57 | 421.94 | 466.90 | 494.26 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 1.01% | 2.01% | 3.01% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 276.02 | 278.75 | 281.48 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 291.97 | 297.78 | 303.64 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 305.62 | 314.79 | 324.14 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 317.18 | 329.93 | 343.05 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 326.80 | 343.31 | 360.46 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 10,349.38 | 10,871.92 | 11,415.34 |
| Equity Value (M) | 11,866.97 | 12,436.46 | 13,028.13 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,237.21 | 1,237.21 | 1,237.21 |
| Fair Value | $9.59 | $10.05 | $10.53 |
| Upside / Downside | 226.25% | 241.91% | 258.17% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |