Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $13.43 - $29.28 | $27.44 |
| Multi-Stage | $4.57 - $5.00 | $4.78 |
| Blended Fair Value | $16.11 | |
| Current Price | $1.08 | |
| Upside | 1,391.58% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 19.34% | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -11.54% | 4.00% | 31.58% | 153.33% | -21.05% | 56.53% | 15.81% | 89.37% | 12.53% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.08% | 6.91% | 8.17% | 5.62% | 4.81% | 10.44% | 5.02% | 3.66% | 1.94% | 1.72% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 108.93 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 101.75 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 7.18 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 21.79 | 13.62 | 8.17 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 7.18 | 7.18 | 7.18 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -21.79 | -13.62 | -8.17 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -14.60 | -6.43 | -0.99 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 740.00 | 740.00 | 740.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $13.43 | $27.44 | $29.28 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,143.12% | 2,440.32% | 2,610.69% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 108.93 | 116.01 | 123.55 | 131.58 | 140.14 | 149.25 | 153.72 |
| Payout Ratio | 93.41% | 92.73% | 92.04% | 91.36% | 90.68% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 101.75 | 107.57 | 113.72 | 120.22 | 127.08 | 134.32 | 142.19 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 100.13 | 101.08 | 102.03 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 98.53 | 100.41 | 102.30 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 96.95 | 99.73 | 102.57 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 95.39 | 99.06 | 102.83 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 93.85 | 98.38 | 103.09 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 2,900.41 | 3,040.50 | 3,185.95 |
| Equity Value (M) | 3,385.25 | 3,539.16 | 3,698.77 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 740.00 | 740.00 | 740.00 |
| Fair Value | $4.57 | $4.78 | $5.00 |
| Upside / Downside | 323.58% | 342.84% | 362.81% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |