Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sheng Siong Group Ltd (OV8.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.82 - $19.14$17.93
Multi-Stage$3.03 - $3.31$3.17
Blended Fair Value$10.55
Current Price$2.08
Upside407.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.83%9.14%0.060.060.060.060.050.040.030.030.040.03
YoY Growth--4.58%-2.08%2.46%15.10%51.43%2.94%0.00%-6.85%12.31%21.79%
Dividend Yield--3.90%4.03%3.70%4.01%3.44%2.94%3.27%3.58%3.86%3.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9218.0810.85
Cash Retained (M)48.3848.3848.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.92-18.08-10.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.4630.3137.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,502.891,502.891,502.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.82$17.93$19.14
Upside / Downside372.14%762.17%820.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.61154.01164.02174.68186.03198.13204.07
Payout Ratio66.54%71.23%75.93%80.62%85.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96.23109.71124.53140.82158.70178.31188.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.21103.18104.15
Year 2 PV (M)108.09110.15112.23
Year 3 PV (M)113.88117.15120.48
Year 4 PV (M)119.57124.17128.90
Year 5 PV (M)125.17131.21137.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,982.664,175.024,374.75
Equity Value (M)4,551.584,760.884,977.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1,502.891,502.891,502.89
Fair Value$3.03$3.17$3.31
Upside / Downside45.60%52.30%59.24%

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