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Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.79 - $3.92$3.35
Multi-Stage$4.04 - $4.43$4.23
Blended Fair Value$3.79
Current Price$18.65
Upside-79.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.51%0.00%0.090.090.080.030.100.300.180.430.000.00
YoY Growth---1.34%16.57%135.00%-67.07%-66.54%65.71%-58.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.82%1.08%0.20%0.99%6.96%2.08%2.86%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.7212.957.77
Cash Retained (M)82.2382.2382.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.72-12.95-7.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.5069.2874.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)234.07234.07234.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate10.45%10.45%10.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.79$3.35$3.92
Upside / Downside-85.05%-82.04%-78.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103.62102.58101.56100.5499.5498.54101.50
Payout Ratio20.64%34.52%48.39%62.26%76.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.3935.4149.1462.6075.7888.6993.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.45%10.45%10.45%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.7332.0632.38
Year 2 PV (M)39.4740.2841.10
Year 3 PV (M)45.0746.4647.88
Year 4 PV (M)48.9050.9253.01
Year 5 PV (M)51.2953.9656.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)729.13767.10806.63
Equity Value (M)945.60990.791,037.76
Shares Outstanding (M)234.07234.07234.07
Fair Value$4.04$4.23$4.43
Upside / Downside-78.34%-77.30%-76.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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