Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $143.87 - $347.18 | $213.48 |
| Multi-Stage | $100.06 - $109.36 | $104.63 |
| Blended Fair Value | $159.05 | |
| Current Price | $101.40 | |
| Upside | 56.86% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 31.89% | 18.14% | 0.79 | 0.59 | 0.50 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.75 | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 33.26% | 19.86% | 91.46% | 30.42% | 0.07% | -1.67% | -88.47% | 827.93% | 25.56% | 0.50% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.03% | 1.10% | 1.35% | 0.91% | 0.96% | 1.75% | 1.29% | 13.39% | 1.10% | 1.01% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 749.13 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 104.03 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 645.10 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 149.83 | 93.64 | 56.18 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 645.10 | 645.10 | 645.10 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -149.83 | -93.64 | -56.18 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 495.27 | 551.46 | 588.91 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 112.45 | 112.45 | 112.45 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4.40 | 4.90 | 5.24 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4.40 | 4.90 | 5.24 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 5.33 | 5.83 | 6.16 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.41% | 9.41% | 9.41% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $143.87 | $213.48 | $347.18 |
| Upside / Downside | 41.89% | 110.53% | 242.39% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 749.13 | 797.82 | 849.68 | 904.91 | 963.73 | 1,026.37 | 1,057.17 |
| Payout Ratio | 13.89% | 29.11% | 44.33% | 59.55% | 74.78% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 104.03 | 232.25 | 376.68 | 538.92 | 720.65 | 923.74 | 977.88 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.41% | 9.41% | 9.41% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 210.28 | 212.27 | 214.27 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 308.81 | 314.69 | 320.62 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 400.02 | 411.51 | 423.21 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 484.33 | 502.95 | 522.11 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 562.10 | 589.25 | 617.44 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 9,285.85 | 9,734.36 | 10,200.04 |
| Equity Value (M) | 11,251.39 | 11,765.04 | 12,297.69 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 112.45 | 112.45 | 112.45 |
| Fair Value | $100.06 | $104.63 | $109.36 |
| Upside / Downside | -1.32% | 3.18% | 7.85% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |