Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. (LTMC.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.59 - $11.15$8.58
Multi-Stage$25.36 - $27.99$26.65
Blended Fair Value$17.61
Current Price$22.92
Upside-23.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.270.010.081.000.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3,287.83%-89.76%-92.26%2,792.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.44%0.07%0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8817.4310.46
Cash Retained (M)61.5261.5261.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.88-17.43-10.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.6344.0951.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.52250.52250.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.59$8.58$11.15
Upside / Downside-71.24%-62.56%-51.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.42138.03136.65135.28133.93132.59136.57
Payout Ratio55.88%62.70%69.53%76.35%83.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.9086.5495.01103.29111.40119.33126.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)81.8982.7283.56
Year 2 PV (M)85.0686.8088.56
Year 3 PV (M)87.5090.2092.97
Year 4 PV (M)89.2992.9996.80
Year 5 PV (M)90.5095.22100.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,920.086,228.356,549.34
Equity Value (M)6,354.326,676.297,011.35
Shares Outstanding (M)250.52250.52250.52
Fair Value$25.36$26.65$27.99
Upside / Downside10.66%16.27%22.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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