Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $9.96 - $19.98 | $13.86 |
| Multi-Stage | $8.79 - $9.61 | $9.19 |
| Blended Fair Value | $11.52 | |
| Current Price | $13.00 | |
| Upside | -11.37% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -3.18% | 6.25% | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | -100.00% | 32.84% | 6.27% | -19.81% | 44.55% | 18.44% | -16.33% | 45.34% | 3.56% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.21% | 0.00% | 2.52% | 1.28% | 1.20% | 2.14% | 0.98% | 0.78% | 1.00% | 0.81% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 4.45 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1.08 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 3.36 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 0.89 | 0.56 | 0.33 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 3.36 | 3.36 | 3.36 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -0.89 | -0.56 | -0.33 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 2.47 | 2.81 | 3.03 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.68 | 7.68 | 7.68 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 4.25% | 5.25% | 6.25% |
| Fair Value | $9.96 | $13.86 | $19.98 |
| Upside / Downside | -23.40% | 6.58% | 53.71% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 4.45 | 4.68 | 4.92 | 5.18 | 5.46 | 5.74 | 5.91 |
| Payout Ratio | 24.34% | 37.47% | 50.61% | 63.74% | 76.87% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1.08 | 1.75 | 2.49 | 3.30 | 4.19 | 5.17 | 5.47 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 4.25% | 5.25% | 6.25% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2.05 | 2.09 | 2.13 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2.47 | 2.54 | 2.62 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2.85 | 2.96 | 3.07 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 3.19 | 3.34 | 3.51 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 55.34 | 58.04 | 60.85 |
| Equity Value (M) | 67.49 | 70.59 | 73.80 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.68 | 7.68 | 7.68 |
| Fair Value | $8.79 | $9.19 | $9.61 |
| Upside / Downside | -32.42% | -29.32% | -26.10% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |