Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Leon's Furniture Limited (LNF.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.20 - $55.46$42.22
Multi-Stage$49.48 - $54.33$51.86
Blended Fair Value$47.04
Current Price$28.84
Upside63.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.08%5.93%0.730.630.652.480.650.630.560.480.420.41
YoY Growth--15.93%-2.67%-73.72%280.79%3.05%13.49%15.03%15.81%0.65%0.48%
Dividend Yield--3.10%2.82%3.76%11.10%2.83%4.68%3.84%2.88%2.49%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)119.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.7621.7313.04
Cash Retained (M)119.24119.24119.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.76-21.73-13.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.4897.51106.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Fair Value$32.20$42.22$55.46
Upside / Downside11.64%46.41%92.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.81177.00180.24183.54186.90190.33196.04
Payout Ratio31.40%43.12%54.84%66.56%78.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.5776.3298.84122.16146.31171.30181.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)70.5171.2171.91
Year 2 PV (M)84.3786.0587.75
Year 3 PV (M)96.3499.24102.19
Year 4 PV (M)106.60110.90115.32
Year 5 PV (M)115.31121.15127.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,924.933,072.873,226.75
Equity Value (M)3,398.073,561.423,731.13
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
Fair Value$49.48$51.86$54.33
Upside / Downside71.58%79.83%88.40%

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