Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

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Industry

Sector

Kingfisher plc (KGF.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.53 - $3.83$3.14
Multi-Stage$4.16 - $4.56$4.36
Blended Fair Value$3.75
Current Price$2.71
Upside38.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.09%-3.75%0.120.130.130.140.000.120.120.120.120.12
YoY Growth---3.80%-3.66%-3.15%0.00%-100.00%-1.73%0.00%0.43%-0.86%-30.54%
Dividend Yield--4.98%5.79%4.74%4.13%0.00%5.98%5.57%3.58%3.68%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)452.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)78.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.0066.2539.75
Cash Retained (M)78.0078.0078.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.00-66.25-39.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-28.0011.7538.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,860.001,860.001,860.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.45%0.55%1.55%
Fair Value$2.53$3.14$3.83
Upside / Downside-6.75%15.92%41.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)530.00532.89535.80538.73541.67544.62560.96
Payout Ratio85.28%86.23%87.17%88.11%89.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)452.00459.49467.06474.69482.39490.16518.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-0.45%0.55%1.55%
Year 1 PV (M)419.19423.40427.61
Year 2 PV (M)388.71396.55404.48
Year 3 PV (M)360.40371.37382.56
Year 4 PV (M)334.12347.75361.79
Year 5 PV (M)309.72325.59342.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,933.406,237.476,553.88
Equity Value (M)7,745.538,102.138,472.43
Shares Outstanding (M)1,860.001,860.001,860.00
Fair Value$4.16$4.36$4.56
Upside / Downside53.66%60.74%68.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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